Test
-0.211939
Relative Brier Score
60
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 90 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Forecaster of the Month - Mar 2025
Top 10% of the previous month's accuracy leaderboard.
New Badge
Forecaster of the Month - Feb 2025
Top 10% of the previous month's accuracy leaderboard.
New Badge
Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2024
Top 10% of the previous month's accuracy leaderboard.
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
56%
(0%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
56%
(0%)
Yes
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-1%)
Less than 250
9%
(+1%)
More than or equal to 250 but less than 500
68%
(+5%)
More than or equal to 500 but less than 750
20%
(-5%)
More than or equal to 750
test
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
56%
(+11%)
Yes
test2
Files
New Badge
Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2024
Top 10% of the previous month's accuracy leaderboard.
Why do you think you're right?
tst https://www.cultivatelabs.com
Why might you be wrong?
https://rand.org in pre mortem